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The Push for More Dynamic Matchmaking

As Call of Duty continues to evolve, one of the most likely future developments for SBMM is an even more dynamic and adaptive system. Currently, SBMM focuses heavily on statistical performance metrics like K/D ratio and accuracy to match players, but these metrics often fail to capture the full scope of a player’s skill, especially in objective-based or team-oriented modes. Developers may look to refine SBMM by incorporating a broader set of factors, including:

• Playstyle Adaptation: Understanding a player’s playstyle could become an important factor in matchmaking. Players who are aggressive could be matched with others who prefer fast-paced, close-quarter combat, while more strategic players might be placed with others who emphasize map control, teamwork, or stealth.

• Behavioral Metrics: Some games already use behavioral data to assess whether a player is more focused on winning, completing objectives, or simply having fun. Future versions of SBMM could take player behavior into account, matching players not just based on skill, but also on their approach to the game.

• Skill Adjustments Over Time: SBMM could become more adaptive in how it calculates player skill over time. Rather than relying on historical data alone, it might incorporate recent performance to ensure that players are always in games that feel balanced based on their most current abilities. For instance, if you’re on a winning streak, you might find yourself matched with more skilled opponents to maintain a challenging experience.

This kind of dynamic matchmaking could help create a system that is more responsive to a player’s progress and experience level, offering a balance between fairness and fun.

SBMM and the Return of Casual Play: Finding a Balance

One of the most consistent criticisms of SBMM is its negative impact on casual play. Many players feel that SBMM forces them to play at a high level of intensity, which detracts from the joy of jumping into a quick game to unwind. The solution to this issue may lie in finding a balance between SBMM and more casual, traditional matchmaking systems.

Several potential solutions could strike this balance:

1. Opt-in/Opt-out SBMM: One idea that’s been floated in the Call of Duty community is the introduction of a system where players can choose whether or not they want SBMM in their matches. For example, players could select an "SBMM-enabled" playlist for competitive matches, and a "casual" playlist where matchmaking is based more on connection quality or random placement, allowing players to enjoy both types of experiences. This would help appease both competitive and casual players by giving them more control over their experience.

2. Casual Matchmaking with Skill Tiers: Another potential solution is to create distinct matchmaking categories, such as "Casual" and "Ranked." In Ranked mode, SBMM would be heavily enforced, while in Casual mode, matchmaking would be more relaxed, focusing on fun and unpredictability. This would allow players to choose how seriously they want to take their matches, which could help mitigate the frustration that comes with overly intense SBMM systems in casual play.

3. Frequent Balancing Updates: Developers could also aim for more frequent balancing adjustments to the SBMM system, so that casual players aren’t left in lopsided matches that feel unreasonably difficult. Constant tweaking could make SBMM less frustrating by reducing the frequency of matches that feel too competitive or unbalanced for lower-skill players.

By offering a choice between competitive and casual play while continuing to refine SBMM, developers could ensure that every player has an experience tailored to their preferences.

SBMM and the Evolution of AI and Machine Learning

The future of SBMM in Call of Duty may also see the integration of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) techniques to make matchmaking smarter and more intuitive. Currently, SBMM relies on relatively straightforward algorithms based on player performance stats. However, AI and ML could allow for deeper analysis of a player’s behavior and performance patterns to create more refined matchmaking systems.

How could this work?

1. Predictive Skill Matching: Machine learning could analyze a player’s performance in real-time and predict their future performance, adjusting matchmaking on the fly. For example, if a player is consistently improving, the system could predict that they are ready for more challenging opponents, even if their historical data might not fully reflect that. This would allow for smoother, more organic skill progression without the harsh difficulty spikes that some players experience in SBMM-driven systems.

2. Adaptive Matchmaking: By analyzing a player’s emotional state or tendencies during matches (such as frustration, tilt, or complacency), ML algorithms could adjust matchmaking to help improve the player’s experience. For instance, if the system detects that a player is underperforming due to frustration, it might match them with opponents who are just slightly below their skill level to give them a confidence boost.

3. Better Team Dynamics: AI could also improve the team dynamics aspect of SBMM. Currently, SBMM mainly focuses on individual skill, but team-based performance is just as important, especially in game modes like Domination or Hardpoint. By analyzing how players contribute to team objectives (e.g., capturing points, holding positions, etc.), the system could match players who work well together, leading to more collaborative gameplay.

With the rise of AI and ML in gaming, the future of SBMM could involve matchmaking systems that not only balance skill but also optimize for enjoyable, team-oriented experiences.

The Return to Non-SBMM Options: Will Casual Play Make a Comeback?

Despite the increasing reliance on SBMM, there is a growing movement in the Call of Duty community that longs for a return to non-SBMM matchmaking systems. Some players feel that the unpredictability and chaos of older CoD games, where skill was less of a factor in matchmaking, made for more enjoyable experiences. This sense of nostalgia has sparked discussions about whether future Call of Duty titles could revert to simpler matchmaking systems.

Possible Paths Forward:

1. Hybrid Matchmaking Systems: Developers could move towards hybrid systems where SBMM is used selectively (e.g., in ranked modes), while non-SBMM systems are reintroduced for more casual play. These could include matchmaking based on connection quality, player location, or even random selection, which might recreate the carefree and spontaneous feel of earlier Call of Duty games.

2. Player-driven Matchmaking: A more radical approach might involve allowing players to set their own matchmaking preferences. They could decide whether they want to be matched based on skill, region, connection, or other factors. This level of customization could appeal to a wider range of players, offering both casual and competitive experiences in the same game.

3. Reimagined Community Modes: Another possible direction is the creation of "community modes" where the community can vote on the style of matchmaking they prefer for specific playlists. For example, Warzone could have community-voted playlists where players can opt for no-SBMM modes for fun or quick-battle experiences.

Conclusion

The future of SBMM in Call of Duty is both exciting and uncertain. While it’s clear that SBMM plays an essential role in creating a competitive and balanced multiplayer environment, there is still room for improvement, especially when it comes to catering to casual players and offering a more dynamic, enjoyable experience. Whether through advanced AI and machine learning, hybrid matchmaking systems, or player-driven choices, there are numerous possibilities for how SBMM could evolve in the coming years.

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As the Call of Duty franchise continues to grow and adapt, it’s likely that developers will strike a balance between competitive integrity and player enjoyment. Ultimately, the goal will be to provide an experience that appeals to both hardcore fans and casual gamers alike—ensuring that Call of Duty remains a beloved franchise for all types of players.